Let’s revisit Let’s revisit - Page 4 - Talk of The Villages Florida

Let’s revisit

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  #46  
Old 06-07-2022, 04:33 PM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
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Originally Posted by jimjamuser View Post
Reducing the DEMAND for oil should push the price of oil (and gasoline) down. Making the US less dependent on Middle East and Russian oil.
Except the supply of oil was also reduced as the world was waking up from covid pushing up demand.

As a result lack of supply as well as US govt telling the world oil producers that gasoline had no future pushed up pricing
  #47  
Old 06-08-2022, 03:59 AM
Two Bills Two Bills is offline
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Originally Posted by Topspinmo View Post
How does OPEC fix market, oil trading set price. Now they can affect that price by increasing or decreasing output if other suppliers don’t set up or regulated out of the picture.
You are right. My bad.
Should have said OPEC fix production, not price.
Which demand and market raises or lowers price, which is still not set by governments, which was the point I was trying to get across.
  #48  
Old 06-08-2022, 04:28 AM
Vikingjunior Vikingjunior is offline
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Well, according to sleepy Joe "this is the growing pains of the transition"

The green new deal is in full effect. Enjoy.
  #49  
Old 06-08-2022, 04:54 AM
ithos ithos is offline
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Originally Posted by coralway View Post
1st quarter oil profits
Chevron - $6.3B
Exxon - $5.5B
BP - $6.2B
Shell - $9.1B



Living is easy with eyes closed
Company 2020 net income (crude oil averaged $42)
Exxon Mobil Corp. -$22 billion
Shell Oil Co./Motiva Enterprises LLC $5 billion
Chevron Corp. -$6 billion
BP North America -$6 billion
ConocoPhillips/Phillips 66 -$3 billion
TOTAL -$32 billion

I wonder what the price of a gallon of gas would be if we introduced price controls so that there was no profit left to explore and develop new oil sources.
  #50  
Old 06-08-2022, 05:28 AM
Blackbird45 Blackbird45 is offline
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Is the price of oil excessive compared to what Americans are used to? I would say yes! But compare to what took place in the oil crisis of 1973 this is nothing. For those who either where not around, were not old enough to drive or have just forgotten. You could only fill your car every other day and you waited in long lines for hours when it was your day and many stations had limits to how much gas you could have. The crisis was comparable to the toilet paper shortage during the pandemic, but with a much more devastating effect. If you lived long enough, you would understand that all these situations sooner or later will self-correct.
  #51  
Old 06-08-2022, 05:56 AM
kcal63 kcal63 is offline
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Default $6 a gallon? We will soon wish.

Some parts of the country are already approaching $6. By the end of this year we are looking at $8 per gallon. At this point the only reasonable expectation of a price decline would be from a decline in demand, which is not likely for at least 4 years. JMO.
  #52  
Old 06-08-2022, 06:00 AM
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Bay Kid Bay Kid is offline
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Originally Posted by Wyseguy View Post
I am not sure if the increase in the cost per gallon will result in more taxes for the State. I "believe" federal excise tax on fuel is a percentage. State tax is so much per gallon. Let's say a state adds ten cents per gallon as a tax for road repairs. An increase in the price of a gallon could very well result in lower tax revenue for the state, as people will drive less.
They still make more per gallon than anyone. Even higher taxes on diesel that delivers everything, which the cost is passed on.
  #53  
Old 06-08-2022, 06:50 AM
The Chipster The Chipster is offline
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Default Awesome time to own an EV

If you don't need to drive long distances, owning an EV right now is like putting money in the bank each week. No gas, oil changes, regular service intervals, new brake pads, etc. I bought a used Jaguar I-Pace on autotrader.com, charge it up in my garage about once per week, and pat it on the butt every morning.
  #54  
Old 06-08-2022, 10:18 AM
hypart hypart is offline
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Originally Posted by kcal63 View Post
Some parts of the country are already approaching $6. By the end of this year we are looking at $8 per gallon. At this point the only reasonable expectation of a price decline would be from a decline in demand, which is not likely for at least 4 years. JMO.
$8 per gallon? Come on $10 per gallon. Or even $15! I own a bunch of oil stocks. And if you don't then 🤷

Come on oil!
  #55  
Old 06-08-2022, 11:41 AM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by Topspinmo View Post
We didn’t depend on foreign oil till recently. 3% Russia non player but makes good talking BS point.
The price of a barrel of oil in the US is dependent on the WORLD market for oil and the WORLD SUPPLY, which mostly depends on the Middle East oil, but also Russian oil, Ukrainian oil, and even countries like Norway which produces oil. Russia's unprovoked attack on the Ukraine caused the RISK FACTOR to the World's oil supply to skyrocket and took up the price of oil.
............Oil futures price equals world supply (not just the US supply) plus RISK to that SUPPLY. When Russia invaded the Ukraine there was that RISK factor plus a RISK factor that the war COULD (?) spread to become even a WORLD WAR. A WORLD WAR or even a spread involving Europe would affect the Middle East and oil would be DISRUPTED - like a BIG oil shortage.
............So part of the price that WE are paying for gasoline at the pump is a RISK premium caused by WORLD INSTABILITY.
  #56  
Old 06-08-2022, 12:00 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by Stu from NYC View Post
Given how inefficient the US govt is would be very worried that they would screw up a single payer system.
National Health Care works fine in ALL other countries, but the US is again the outlier, just like about gun safety. Historically, the US dependence on INSURANCE companies began way back in a Roosevelt Administration that put on wage and salary CONTROLS. To circumvent the requirements and to recruit the best employees, Corporations would entice new employees with company-paid benefits. It was a great CASE of UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES.
.........And thus began the INSURANCE COMPANIES stranglehold on US healthcare! Which we pay dearly for today.
  #57  
Old 06-08-2022, 12:05 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by Stu from NYC View Post
Except the supply of oil was also reduced as the world was waking up from covid pushing up demand.

As a result lack of supply as well as US govt telling the world oil producers that gasoline had no future pushed up pricing
Supply does not CHANGE or even affect DEMAND. They are INDEPENDENT factors that in tandem cause the PRICE to go up or down, which balances the equation.
  #58  
Old 06-08-2022, 12:12 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by Vikingjunior View Post
Well, according to sleepy Joe "this is the growing pains of the transition"

The green new deal is in full effect. Enjoy.
The green new deal has little effect on oil prices today (maybe in the future). Oil FUTURES price is up because of the RISK introduced by Russia's invasion of the Ukraine and the destabilizing effect to the world that it produced.
  #59  
Old 06-08-2022, 12:14 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ithos View Post
Company 2020 net income (crude oil averaged $42)
Exxon Mobil Corp. -$22 billion
Shell Oil Co./Motiva Enterprises LLC $5 billion
Chevron Corp. -$6 billion
BP North America -$6 billion
ConocoPhillips/Phillips 66 -$3 billion
TOTAL -$32 billion

I wonder what the price of a gallon of gas would be if we introduced price controls so that there was no profit left to explore and develop new oil sources.
Price controls have unintended consequences.
  #60  
Old 06-08-2022, 12:15 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blackbird45 View Post
Is the price of oil excessive compared to what Americans are used to? I would say yes! But compare to what took place in the oil crisis of 1973 this is nothing. For those who either where not around, were not old enough to drive or have just forgotten. You could only fill your car every other day and you waited in long lines for hours when it was your day and many stations had limits to how much gas you could have. The crisis was comparable to the toilet paper shortage during the pandemic, but with a much more devastating effect. If you lived long enough, you would understand that all these situations sooner or later will self-correct.
Excellent post!
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