[GreggC69]

With what might be the first "direct hit" in a long time in The Villages, who is your go to, most trusted weather source? Do you just follow The Weather Channel? Do you track a station out of Tampa? Orlando? Curious for as much Villages specific information I can track. Thanks.

[Spartan86]

I like

Windy.com

Tropical tidbits

[CarlR33]

I would not necessarily rely on the weather casters as much (including the Facebook ones) but listen to what the Governor’s updates suggest we do, etc?

[Altavia]

Mike's Weather page is my #1 for hurricanes. He.or less provides a synthesis of the major storm models.


Mike's Weather Page... powered by Firman Power Equipment!

Also, Zoom Earth is an app similar to Windy above that's a new favorite due to the long range forecast model.

Zoom Earth - Live Weather Map on the App Store

[bob47]

If I recall correctly, Tony Mainolfi on WESH was the first to predict that hurricane Irma would come up the center of the state.

[biker1]

It doesn’t really matter. Everyone has the same access to observational data and model results as well as the forecasts from the NHC.

Originally Posted by GreggC69

With what might be the first "direct hit" in a long time in The Villages, who is your go to, most trusted weather source? Do you just follow The Weather Channel? Do you track a station out of Tampa? Orlando? Curious for as much Villages specific information I can track. Thanks.

[Dotneko]

Denis Phillips on facebook

[Ignatz]

Originally Posted by Dotneko

Denis Phillips on facebook

Agreed. DP provides what I call the Joe Friday approach to the storms… Just the facts!

Frequent and hype-free information and updates.

The local networks are still hype machines. Ugh!

[mike234]

Originally Posted by biker1

It doesn’t really matter. Everyone has the same access to observational data and model results as well as the forecasts from the NHC.

you are absolutely correct. the national weather service is what the weather forecasters use ...... after that, the one with the shortest dress, prettiest face, and biggest chest is my preference...

[asianthree]

It’s the only professional career that you may be 50% correct and still have a job. Nobody is going to sue you, if your info is wrong.
That wobble change can take predation to a whole new level. A stall changing the rain drop.

But there are no worries on what or who to watch, you will have 24/7 coverage. So if you don’t like one prediction, just change the channel.

[mrf6969]

Meteorology is educated guesswork. It is what it is. What will be will be.

[Pondboy]

If you don’t want the “Hype”, I’d recommend “Max Velocity Weather”. You can watch him on You Tube.

[Velvet]

I look at the weather forecast the way I watch predictions for who’s going to win the Super Bowl. The odds from some sources are better than others. I miss Truc.

[biker1]

There isn’t any “correct” or “incorrect”. There are really only probability distributions derived from numerical solution of the N-S equations. Chaos theory applies to the atmosphere so there are predictability limits. People want black and white answers but those don’t typically exist with complex systems.

Originally Posted by asianthree

It’s the only professional career that you may be 50% correct and still have a job. Nobody is going to sue you, if your info is wrong.
That wobble change can take predation to a whole new level. A stall changing the rain drop.

But there are no worries on what or who to watch, you will have 24/7 coverage. So if you don’t like one prediction, just change the channel.

[biker1]

No, there isn’t any guess work. There are sometimes many possible outcomes and probabilities are typically assigned to the outcomes. Do you ever notice the cone that expands with time around the forecasted hurricane tracks? That is a probability distribution.

Originally Posted by mrf6969

Meteorology is educated guesswork. It is what it is. What will be will be.