Another Week Of No Hurricanes Forecast Another Week Of No Hurricanes Forecast - Page 2 - Talk of The Villages Florida

Another Week Of No Hurricanes Forecast

Closed Thread
Thread Tools
  #16  
Old 08-26-2024, 07:24 AM
sounding sounding is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Calumet Grove
Posts: 1,289
Thanks: 734
Thanked 1,015 Times in 635 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RICH1 View Post
weather is what old people talk about...and now it's Hurricane season adding additional stress to the heart..
Fortunately, global warming makes the tropical atmosphere more stable, which inhibits tropical cyclone development. This science of this trend is explained at the Weather Club.
Attached Thumbnails
The Villages Florida: Click image for larger version

Name:	Hurricanez.jpg
Views:	401
Size:	42.9 KB
ID:	105498  
  #17  
Old 08-26-2024, 07:25 AM
CybrSage CybrSage is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2024
Posts: 449
Thanks: 1,676
Thanked 264 Times in 168 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Two Bills View Post
I think El Niño should be bombed, or assassinated.
Two really lousy, wet, cool summers, now in UK.
My tomatoes are still bl**dy green.
What Global Warming?
I heard green tomatoes are great when fried. So good, they made a movie about it!
  #18  
Old 08-26-2024, 07:30 AM
CybrSage CybrSage is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2024
Posts: 449
Thanks: 1,676
Thanked 264 Times in 168 Posts
Default

Global warming is created by pirates. As the number of pirates dropped, temps went up. This is truth, the data shows it. Anyone who disagrees redises to follow the science and must be canceled!

Yes, I am showing that correlation is not causation. Something many people forget.

The Villages Florida

Last edited by CybrSage; 08-26-2024 at 07:37 AM.
  #19  
Old 08-26-2024, 07:33 AM
sounding sounding is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Calumet Grove
Posts: 1,289
Thanks: 734
Thanked 1,015 Times in 635 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CybrSage View Post
What does the temp anomaly mean on the graph? What is the expected norm being deviated from? Is it the Milkanovitch Cycles temp?
Please ask this question today (Aug 26) at 1 PM at Bridgeport for greater explanation. However, an anomaly is a deviation of the mean of at least 30 years of data. The AMO & PDO (which are on 60-year cycles) are not derived from the Milankovitch cycles (which are on 40,000 to 120,000 year cycles). The AMO and PDO do affect tropical storm activity.
Attached Thumbnails
The Villages Florida: Click image for larger version

Name:	AMOPDO.jpg
Views:	435
Size:	75.5 KB
ID:	105499  
  #20  
Old 08-26-2024, 07:42 AM
CybrSage CybrSage is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2024
Posts: 449
Thanks: 1,676
Thanked 264 Times in 168 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by sounding View Post
Please ask this question today (Aug 26) at 1 PM at Bridgeport for greater explanation. However, an anomaly is a deviation of the mean of at least 30 years of data. The AMO & PDO (which are on 60-year cycles) are not derived from the Milankovitch cycles (which are on 40,000 to 120,000 year cycles). The AMO and PDO do affect tropical storm activity.
So the temp is water and not atmosphere.
Using charts with missing vital info (such as what temps are being shown, especially when air temps were also mentioned) causes confusion.
Not an attack, just a note to help you be clear in the future.
  #21  
Old 08-26-2024, 07:46 AM
airstreamingypsy airstreamingypsy is offline
Gold member
Join Date: May 2015
Posts: 1,353
Thanks: 6,091
Thanked 1,290 Times in 648 Posts
Default

I never realized that weather could be this boring.
__________________
_____________________
"It's a magical world, Hobbes, Ol' Buddy... let's go exploring!"
  #22  
Old 08-26-2024, 07:59 AM
golfing eagles's Avatar
golfing eagles golfing eagles is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: The Villages
Posts: 13,565
Thanks: 1,303
Thanked 14,643 Times in 4,834 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CybrSage View Post
Global warming is created by pirates. As the number of pirates dropped, temps went up. This is truth, the data shows it. Anyone who disagrees redises to follow the science and must be canceled!

Yes, I am showing that correlation is not causation. Something many people forget.

The Villages Florida
post hoc ergo propter hoc
  #23  
Old 08-26-2024, 08:00 AM
sounding sounding is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Calumet Grove
Posts: 1,289
Thanks: 734
Thanked 1,015 Times in 635 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CybrSage View Post
So the temp is water and not atmosphere.
Using charts with missing vital info (such as what temps are being shown, especially when air temps were also mentioned) causes confusion.
Not an attack, just a note to help you be clear in the future.
The AMO and PDO graphs are ocean index temperature data - and very important in short-term climate change. Most don't know this because the media will not talk about this data because it exposes the fraud behind the CO2 control knob theory. The Weather Club talk will discuss this and more in detail in November ... The Villages Weather Club
  #24  
Old 08-26-2024, 08:03 AM
sounding sounding is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Calumet Grove
Posts: 1,289
Thanks: 734
Thanked 1,015 Times in 635 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by airstreamingypsy View Post
I never realized that weather could be this boring.
Pirates have a different opinion.
Attached Thumbnails
The Villages Florida: Click image for larger version

Name:	Pirates.jpg
Views:	338
Size:	43.4 KB
ID:	105500  
  #25  
Old 08-26-2024, 08:41 AM
nn0wheremann nn0wheremann is offline
Veteran member
Join Date: Jun 2017
Posts: 864
Thanks: 88
Thanked 333 Times in 238 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Two Bills View Post
I think El Niño should be bombed, or assassinated.
Two really lousy, wet, cool summers, now in UK.
My tomatoes are still bl**dy green.
What Global Warming?
Your lousy wet is the result of our fish storms, tropical cyclones that develop and sputter out over the eastern Atlantic instead of intensifying and heading west to North America
  #26  
Old 08-26-2024, 09:44 AM
fdpaq0580 fdpaq0580 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 6,134
Thanks: 356
Thanked 5,152 Times in 2,221 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by golfing eagles View Post
post hoc ergo propter hoc
Utway usday athay eanma estionquay arcmay(?)
😃🤭
  #27  
Old 08-26-2024, 12:24 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 9,845
Thanks: 6,847
Thanked 2,235 Times in 1,803 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by sounding View Post
Three reasons.
1 - Sections of the Atlantic are beginning to cool.
2 - Sahara dust continues.
3 - Tonga is still creating upper atmospheric warming - which inhibits tropical convection.
# 3 Tonga has a minimal effect on world weather. Interesting fact .....hurricane Beayl was the EARLIEST cat 5 Atlantic Hurricane on RECORD. There is STILL an above normal probability (90%) of a major Hurricane before Sept. 24. Sept 15 is the peak on the graph of all US hurricanes.
Note........I don't think that the Sahara dust is STILL coming, but I need to check that out to be sure.
  #28  
Old 08-26-2024, 12:49 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 9,845
Thanks: 6,847
Thanked 2,235 Times in 1,803 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimjamuser View Post
# 3 Tonga has a minimal effect on world weather. Interesting fact .....hurricane Beayl was the EARLIEST cat 5 Atlantic Hurricane on RECORD. There is STILL an above normal probability (90%) of a major Hurricane before Sept. 24. Sept 15 is the peak on the graph of all US hurricanes.
Note........I don't think that the Sahara dust is STILL coming, but I need to check that out to be sure.
In Wikipedia there is an article all about the Tonga Eruption. About on the 11 th paragraph down is this statement. "Later calculations indicate that it was UNLIKELY to have any global cooling effects". Much further down in the article it is stated that "greenhouse gas emissions remain the MAJOR determinant of risk"
.....Also - "Peak Saharan dust runs from late June through mid-August"

Last edited by jimjamuser; 08-26-2024 at 01:05 PM. Reason: add an idea
  #29  
Old 08-26-2024, 01:14 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 9,845
Thanks: 6,847
Thanked 2,235 Times in 1,803 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by sounding View Post
The Atlantic and Pacific are 2 different oceans -- separated by North America. However, like the Atlantic, the Pacific storm season also started late. The really interesting thing is that while the Atlantic is showing early signs of cooling, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has been steady cooling for over 7 years -- which is part of the reason why the Northwest Rockies are getting hit with early season snows -- a great reminder that global warming is not global.
"global warming is NOT global"-------that is an unusual statement because, by definition Global Warming means it IS Global. Climate Scientists record the temperatures from ALL parts of the world. That how they know that the Earth has been increasing in warming for the last 30 years.
  #30  
Old 08-26-2024, 01:27 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 9,845
Thanks: 6,847
Thanked 2,235 Times in 1,803 Posts
Default

"Sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic are trending 1.8 deg F above normal. It is worse in the Gulf of Mexico."
Closed Thread

Tags
continues, tonga, creating, upper, sahara


You are viewing a new design of the TOTV site. Click here to revert to the old version.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:39 PM.