[Windguy]

Originally Posted by sounding

The long-term trend shows that land-falling hurricanes are slowly decreasing.

They predicted named storms—not land-falling hurricanes.

[airstreamingypsy]

Originally Posted by billethkid

One can just see the glee in the meteorologists reporting as June 1st approaches.
While some of what they report is needed and informative.....it is overwhelmed by the ongoing amount of useless information.

They treat every storm like Armageddon. Two days before the wind picks up we are assaulted 24/7 by local news.

[ThirdOfFive]

Originally Posted by Michael 61

I remember they said last year was going to be very active too.

We've been hearing the same "prediction" every spring since Katrina.

[jimjamuser]

Originally Posted by sounding

Why the big season is forecast, and why hurricanes form in the first place, will be reviewed June 3 at 1 PM at the Everglades - for the Science & Technology Club (South). Fortunately, The Villages is one of the safest places to be in Florida.

The Villages and central Florida has a history of handling Hurricanes, but this year the Gulf, the Atlantic and the whole world have record high temperatures (like 126 deg in New Delhi). This likely will make for more and stronger hurricanes to be headed to Florida and there could be more tornado spin-offs, which can be more destructive. And each summer after this will be hotter and hotter until the CO2 from utilities, factories, and automobiles starts to decrease. And E-vehicles purchasing MUST increase in the US in order to make that happen.

[jimjamuser]

Originally Posted by golfing eagles

Oh, no. You KNOW what's coming.

Here's Johnny!!!!!

[jimjamuser]

Originally Posted by Packer Fan

So do they just present this every year? They have been forcasting the same thing as long as anyone can remember and most of the time it is not true.....
Now WHY hurricanes form is interesting for sure. Lucky in TV, we are pretty far from the coast and not much to concern ourselves with.

We might not be too concerned with this, but in maybe 60 years (3 generations) with the current increasing ocean level rise, most of the Florida coastline will be underwater due to the rapid planet heating and melting glaciers. Population increase might be lowered by nuclear wars (a bright spot)?

[mtdjed]

Originally Posted by golfing eagles

Oh, no. You KNOW what's coming.

Oh Goody another 10,000 Villagers get new roof. The rest of us get higher or cancelled insurance payments. Both will happen even if no storms. The roofing contractors will prevail.

[sounding]

Originally Posted by jimjamuser

The Villages and central Florida has a history of handling Hurricanes, but this year the Gulf, the Atlantic and the whole world have record high temperatures (like 126 deg in New Delhi). This likely will make for more and stronger hurricanes to be headed to Florida and there could be more tornado spin-offs, which can be more destructive. And each summer after this will be hotter and hotter until the CO2 from utilities, factories, and automobiles starts to decrease. And E-vehicles purchasing MUST increase in the US in order to make that happen.

If oceans are warming, then why are hurricanes decreasing?

[mtdjed]

Originally Posted by jimjamuser

We might not be too concerned with this, but in maybe 60 years (3 generations) with the current increasing ocean level rise, most of the Florida coastline will be underwater due to the rapid planet heating and melting glaciers. Population increase might be lowered by nuclear wars (a bright spot)?

The above is not from fact but a statement of opinion with no factual basis. The fact is that the oceans are rising per measurement. 8 to 9 inches over the last 140 years, 4 inches of that in the last 30 years. And a reported current rate of .15 inches per year. Estimates say it could rise 10-12 inches by 2050, far from the statement above.

I have included the source of the above numbers.

Tracking 30 Years of Sea Level Rise

Incidentally, the statement that most of Florida coastline will be underwater is nonsensical. By definition coastline is the boundary between where land meets water. The coastline may move, but it will still be there.

Do your best to save our earth but be smart.

[sounding]

Originally Posted by mtdjed

The above is not from fact but a statement of opinion with no factual basis. The fact is that the oceans are rising per measurement. 8 to 9 inches over the last 140 years, 4 inches of that in the last 30 years. And a reported current rate of .15 inches per year. Estimates say it could rise 10-12 inches by 2050, far from the statement above.

I have included the source of the above numbers.

Tracking 30 Years of Sea Level Rise

Incidentally, the statement that most of Florida coastline will be underwater is nonsensical. By definition coastline is the boundary between where land meets water. The coastline may move, but it will still be there.

Do your best to save our earth but be smart.

The Villages Weather Club is well aware of the new satellite technology regarding sea levels. However, it does not match hundreds of years of historical records from ground-truth data. The following is from Climate4You DOT Com ... "Data from tide-gauges suggest an average global sea-level rise of 1-1.5 mm/yr, while satellite-derived records suggest a rise of more than 3 mm/yr. The difference between the two data sets has still no broadly accepted explanation, but some of the difference is likely due to administrative changes introduced into the raw data obtained by satellites." Which ever you believe is not that significant, since the seas were about 20 feet higher during the prior Interglacial Warm Period - which was much warmer than today.

[Normal]

Our worst recorded season in America was in 1780. Over 28,000 people died. Have we learned not to construct along the coast, nope.

1780 Atlantic hurricane season - Wikipedia

[Snakster66]

Originally Posted by sounding

If oceans are warming, then why are hurricanes decreasing?

Please don't confuse the issue with facts.

[LeRoySmith]

Originally Posted by mtdjed

Do your best to save our earth but be smart.

you're just trying to be reasonable, you know that won't fly here.....

[CoachKandSportsguy]

Originally Posted by sounding

The long-term trend shows that land-falling hurricanes are slowly decreasing.

Looks more random than a trend.
Weather patterns are inherently unstable, which means a high degree of randomness. .

just another hooman looking for a pattern in very short term weather history. .

[golfing eagles]

Originally Posted by sounding

The Villages Weather Club is well aware of the new satellite technology regarding sea levels. However, it does not match hundreds of years of historical records from ground-truth data. The following is from Climate4You DOT Com ... "Data from tide-gauges suggest an average global sea-level rise of 1-1.5 mm/yr, while satellite-derived records suggest a rise of more than 3 mm/yr. The difference between the two data sets has still no broadly accepted explanation, but some of the difference is likely due to administrative changes introduced into the raw data obtained by satellites." Which ever you believe is not that significant, since the seas were about 20 feet higher during the prior Interglacial Warm Period - which was much warmer than today.

Is that another way of saying "falsifying the data to push a false narrative"?