Hurricane Forecast Models

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  #31  
Old 09-24-2024, 12:40 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by sounding View Post
The "destruction" is not weather or climate -- it's a direct reflection of more people choosing to live in severe weather prone locations -- plus there's the increasing costs of construction -- and they all add up the false belief that storms are getting stronger. It's a popular scare-mongering tool.
One severe weather prone area is FLORIDA.
  #32  
Old 09-24-2024, 12:47 PM
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Which just takes me back to my belief of 6o years ago, which is that the root of mankind's problems all stem from overpopulation.
But, like the song says, "don't worry, be happy".
I agree about the overpopulation. Scientists SHOULD be able to calculate what the optimal population for ANY country is based upon natural resources and other factors. I would guess for the US it would be about 230 million people. But, that could change with time and innovation.
  #33  
Old 09-24-2024, 04:41 PM
Pballer Pballer is offline
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Originally Posted by ThirdOfFive View Post
Well, there is forecasting, and then there is the worst kind of panic-peddling.

I’m visiting in Minnesota currently and went online last night (aol) to check my emails. On the sign-in page was this HUGE blob of red covering all of Florida, extending up into Georgia and covering near shore water in both the Atlantic and the Gulf. It took a bit of reading to discover that this humongous blob of red indicated merely a POSSIBILITY, and that the projected storm hadn’t even achieved tropical storm status yet!

β€œBlatant” doesn’t even begin to describe such shoddy journalistic practice.
Yea. It would be much better if they waited until the storm was much closer to you so that you would not have enough time to try to protect yourself and property.
  #34  
Old 09-24-2024, 10:34 PM
MightyDog MightyDog is offline
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Yea. It would be much better if they waited until the storm was much closer to you so that you would not have enough time to try to protect yourself and property.
Reading comprehension is fundamental...always.
  #35  
Old 09-24-2024, 11:51 PM
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Global Warming and number of hurricanes are 2 very different subjects. Global Warming is proven by looking at the last 5 to 30 years of world temperature data and noting the big increase - very simple. Hurricane prediction is NOT so simple. World temperature is only one factor out of about 5. And remember the hurricane season is NOT over and the Gulf and Atlantic water temperatures are high.
.........in Conclusion 2024 is officially the HOTTEST ever according to the U.N.
What a load of you know what. β€œProven” by 5-30 years of data??? A whole 5-30 years out of the last 5 million?πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚. Amazing that one warm day is touted as proof not only of global warming but that humans are causing it, yet snow in South Africa for the first time EVER is dismissed as just β€œWeatherβ€πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚
  #36  
Old 09-25-2024, 07:55 AM
fdpaq0580 fdpaq0580 is offline
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What a load of you know what. β€œProven” by 5-30 years of data??? A whole 5-30 years out of the last 5 million?πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚. Amazing that one warm day is touted as proof not only of global warming but that humans are causing it, yet snow in South Africa for the first time EVER is dismissed as just β€œWeatherβ€πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚
"Load of you know what". You mean manure?
Dear wanderer, I disagree, along with the grand majority of the world's best climate scientists. Their opinions are based on the incredible bodies of evidence founded in all the best scientific methods. The world's best minds accept the basic fact of man's involvement in global warming.
As to your 5-30 years comment, I offer an analogy (which I'm sure you will find fault with). A man drives across the country for hundreds of thousands of miles. Crossing mountains, deserts, plains, rivers, cities. Then, one day something happens that causes him to crash. The investigators note he has driven through all kinds of terrain and weather with only normal wear and tear. They look for what happened recently that may have caused him to crash. They find the dead deer with car impact damage, skidmarks beginning where the car hit the deer. They don't really need to check out the drivers, or the deers, whole life story to figure out what happened, do they? The evidence is pretty clear. Same with man's involvement with global warming. The evidence is clear and overwhelming to all but the most diehard conspiracy theorists. πŸ« πŸ€”πŸ«€
  #37  
Old 09-25-2024, 10:44 AM
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"Load of you know what". You mean manure?
Dear wanderer, I disagree, along with the grand majority of the world's best climate scientists. Their opinions are based on the incredible bodies of evidence founded in all the best scientific methods. The world's best minds accept the basic fact of man's involvement in global warming.
As to your 5-30 years comment, I offer an analogy (which I'm sure you will find fault with). A man drives across the country for hundreds of thousands of miles. Crossing mountains, deserts, plains, rivers, cities. Then, one day something happens that causes him to crash. The investigators note he has driven through all kinds of terrain and weather with only normal wear and tear. They look for what happened recently that may have caused him to crash. They find the dead deer with car impact damage, skidmarks beginning where the car hit the deer. They don't really need to check out the drivers, or the deers, whole life story to figure out what happened, do they? The evidence is pretty clear. Same with man's involvement with global warming. The evidence is clear and overwhelming to all but the most diehard conspiracy theorists. πŸ« πŸ€”πŸ«€
First of all, the world’s best climate scientists β€œopinion” is based solely upon tauting the party line for professional survival. Secondly, not a good analogy at all
  #38  
Old 09-25-2024, 04:39 PM
fdpaq0580 fdpaq0580 is offline
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First of all, the world’s best climate scientists β€œopinion” is based solely upon tauting the party line for professional survival. Secondly, not a good analogy at all
"Tauting the party line"? Come on, who is really tauting the line? Hmm?
As for the analogy, just saying it's not good doesn't make it so. What is wrong with it? It demonstrates that it is not always necessary to delve into the distant past to understand the cause and effect of a recent event.

Enough of that. What's for breakfast? Ostrich egg omelet with cape buffalo sausage? Oh, now I'm hungry. Time to hunt and gather in the kitchen. Later! πŸ˜‹πŸ˜›πŸ˜ƒ
  #39  
Old 09-25-2024, 09:19 PM
Shipping up to Boston Shipping up to Boston is offline
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Here’s your global warming tidbit of the day: just left South Africa for Zimbabwe and it snowed there for the FIRST TIME EVER. Yes, we are doomed to boiled
Let me know when the diamond trails and lifts open up in Zimbabwe GE!

Safe travels my friend!
  #40  
Old 09-26-2024, 03:46 AM
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Originally Posted by fdpaq0580 View Post
"Tauting the party line"? Come on, who is really tauting the line? Hmm?
As for the analogy, just saying it's not good doesn't make it so. What is wrong with it? It demonstrates that it is not always necessary to delve into the distant past to understand the cause and effect of a recent event.

Enough of that. What's for breakfast? Ostrich egg omelet with cape buffalo sausage? Oh, now I'm hungry. Time to hunt and gather in the kitchen. Later! πŸ˜‹πŸ˜›πŸ˜ƒ
The analogy is not good because I said so. Period. πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚
But breakfast is chicken egg omelette with cheese and ham.
  #41  
Old 09-26-2024, 03:54 AM
Rainger99 Rainger99 is online now
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The analogy is not good because I said so. Period. πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚
But breakfast is chicken egg omelette with cheese and ham.
Glad that you can afford eggs!

Here we go again. Egg prices are spiking. Here’s why | CNN Business
  #42  
Old 09-26-2024, 08:25 AM
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Huh??? But the eggs in Zambia are much cheaper πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚
  #43  
Old 09-26-2024, 08:50 AM
fdpaq0580 fdpaq0580 is offline
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Huh??? But the eggs in Zambia are much cheaper πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚
As long as it tastes good, that's all that counts! Enjoy the "chicken" eggs and (warthog?) ham and cheese. πŸ˜€πŸ˜„πŸ˜€
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