Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
#76
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Are you also considering scale? The number of individuals affected. Nobody beats the US unfortunately.
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#77
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Shame the Lysol injections never worked out! |
#78
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Not to mention most of the Pfizer vaccine is manufactured in Belgium.
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#79
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The proper metric for measuring the impact is cases per hundred not total cases. If a country had 10,000 citizens and half died of Covid 19 that would be 5,000 deaths much, much less than the US but I don’t think anyone with a basic grammar school math knowledge would say the small country handled it better than the US.
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#80
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Nothing you wrote contradicts the fact the under the DPA the US could have put itself first in line and hoarded all the vaccine for itself. The allocations were done jointly with our allies and reasonable prices set. The Biden administration, to its credit, has decided to extend Operation Warp Speed because it has been so successful.
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#81
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All UK vaccine was from Belgium.
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#82
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I understand it is hard to accept that this beautiful country is suffering to this extent, and I have every hope that the vaccine will help. It depends on many people’s attitude to what extent and how soon we will recover. Last edited by Velvet; 12-10-2020 at 12:15 PM. |
#83
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In the small country 50% of the residents die from Covid 19. In the large country 1% of the residents die from Covid 29. In which country would one be more likely to die from Covid 19? This is very basic grammar school math. If math wasn’t you strong suit I understand, but that is as simple as it gets and I can’t help you further. Sorry. |
#84
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Don’t give up, try to think it through. I appreciate your input. (And both in economics and engineering we did use math extensively. I do follow what you are saying.) Last edited by Velvet; 12-10-2020 at 02:28 PM. |
#85
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government as they have no good intentions for the general public. But a democratic country’s government usually has the general population’s interest at heart. I give them the benefit of the doubt. Those individuals who react, just because someone tells what to do, remind me of toddlers. They don’t evaluate, they just say, “Don’t tell me what to do!” There is a reason why with ALL the available resources, being in many ways FIRST among the nations of the world, the US is probably having the most difficulty controlling this virus on the globe.
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Then you state that the US is a) having probably the most difficult time controlling Covid 19 in the world because b) some citizens rebel at following rules like wearing masks. I agree with you on part (b) but on what basis do you state (a) is true? You imply total Covid cases then change your mind and state density is the criteria. We both have scientific backgrounds so would you please give a hypothetical example with numbers in the formula you would use to calculate your definition of density? I’m going to take a guess and say you would like to take a density function for each very small delta area of the US and some mortality function for the same delta area and with some combined function integrate or sum over all delta areas in the US or whatever country being studied. |
#86
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NOTHING, that ANY State or Country has done, has stopped this virus. Not lockdowns, not masks, NOTHING. So get off the denigration of our Governor and President.
By eliminating the usual Government agency slow dance, this Administration has facilitated the development of MULTIPLE vaccines. By June, anyone who wants it will have it. Have you all lost your common sense? Do you really need Big Brother to tell you what to do? I am sick and tired of hearing the same rants from the same suspects on this forum. If you are all such experts why aren't you volunteering to "fix" the problem? Give it a rest. Rant out.
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Roseville, MI, East Lansing, MI, Okemos, MI, Kapalua, HI, Village of Pine Ridge |
#87
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What I was thinking was that there are large geographic areas in the US which have a low density for population. I know you may say that “per capita” takes that into account. My thinking is there are many factors which determine an equivalent comparison of different countries or even counties. My guess is you may have an applied science type of background from your suggestion. In the social sciences we tend to use statistical analysis, regressive equations because more dissimilar factors can be included. Last edited by Velvet; 12-10-2020 at 06:21 PM. |
#88
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#89
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Originally when I read your post I thought it was a criticism of Operation Warp Speed because we had a large total of Covid 19 cases. After rereading it I think your intent was to say that the total would be much lower if everyone wore a mask and didn’t act like rebellious teenagers. I agree regression or statistical analysis would be the most practical way of proving your hypotheses which is, I think, “If everyone wears a mask, then the number of Covid 19 cases will be reduced by X percent.” As you point out this is a multivariate regression analysis and the t-test would be used to test the statistical significance of each coefficient and the assumption of linearity in the coefficients would have to be investigated as well. (as best I remember) A stratified sampling approach would be needed for statistical analysis again because of the non homogeneity of the population. Either way it sounds like it is too complicated to give an answer in a short timeframe, more like a public health PhD thesis. I think that’s why simpler metrics like cases per hundred thousand or totals are used. Maybe AI will help make those computations easier in the future. We always wear masks and haven’t had friends over since March. Very boring but necessary. My background is math/physics undergrad and finance/economics graduate . Worked in an engineering department. |
#90
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Closed Thread |
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