[HelenLCSW]

Originally Posted by Dr Winston O Boogie jr

that the coronavirus hasn't spread more rapidly in The Villages?

I'm not minimizing the threat as I feel that the threat is huge. It's just that I thought that when it got here it would spread like wildfire. I thought the hospitals would be overwhelmed in a matter of days.

Maybe it's because the first cases got here around the same time as the Governor's stay at home order.

I've personally met and chatted with some people here in TV that think the everyone is over reacting and that it's not a big deal. I witnessed myself

people in a supermarket standing within inches of one another and talking into each other's face.

I guess (hope) that these cases are few and far between but I really thought that once it got here we were going to see thousands of cases and hundreds of deaths within a matter of weeks.
It appears that we're doing a great job of mitigating. Way to go!!! Keep up the good work.

I think it probably is here —statistics have been released by county, not by name of Village. I know of 3 people in serious condition (one died, one in coma) — none in my village.

I think the major hit has just not come to us yet —let’s hope we are still doing this will over the next two weeks!

[Jamello]

Can you share the source that listed 27 deaths in The Villages?

[blueash]

IMO we will not get badly hit by Covid. Those who have extrapolated based on the rate of increase early in the pandemic are failing to take heed of the fact that those exponential increases occurred when there were open stores and not social isolation.

With those interventions it is hoped and expected that there will be a dramatic decrease in disease. The cases we are hearing reported now are people who were infected up to 4 weeks ago [2 weeks incubation, 1 week before significant symptoms, 1 week for testing to be done and entered into the database] Some are shorter, but the picture you are seeing as the numbers go up all represent pre-shutdown spread. The early cases were mostly travel related, then known contact related, now most are unknown or community spread.

Do a good job and we will avoid much of the community spread that would have happened without intervention. All you nay-sayers will point to the numbers in a few months and say "see, it was all for nothing" and you'll be wrong.

[Travelhunter]

Originally Posted by arbajeda

As of 6:30 last night (4/7) there were 87 cases in Sumter county.

Central Florida coronavirus cases county-by-county - Orlando Sentinel

A topic of conversation at the pool used to be how many cruises people had been on. Yet even though the Polo Grounds has been testing for several days now, there hasn't been a huge uptick in infections. There was a post yesterday citing a story from the Tampa Bay Times on how The Villages was going to be decimated because of the age of the populace. Nothing specific, just speculation based on information of susceptible population based on age. I guess we are better at this social distancing thing than other places; it also helps that we have fewer gathering places since the squares have been closed. And there are those who will continue to ignore recommendations that will help avoid infection. Well, like Ron White says, "You can't fix stupid."

Less cases than I thought. It goes up daily. There seems to be a high percentage of deaths. I hope it slows down

[Lynnesail]

Are there any statistics particular to The Villages?

[Joanne and Mike]

You can see results by county (Sumter 87) and by zip code 32162 34 cases, 32163 11 cases. Results are updated twice a day
Experience

[dougjb]

The real test for exposure...in my opinion....is the ratio of the number tested to the number infected. All we are hearing is the ratio of the number infected to the number who died. With a population of twenty some odd million in the state of Florida and the number of tests conducted around 50,000 (and even if this ever changing number reached to 100,000), it would seem to me that we simply do not know how many individuals are testing positive. Case in point, I had a neighbor return from a family affair via plane in early March. Both became very sick and the ambulance was called for at least two times. As of yesterday, the man who was sick as a dog and lost 20 pounds, had not been tested. The woman who was also sick as a dog and was tested....but, the results have not been forthcoming as of yet.

So, I think the only thing we can conclude in The Villages is that we may...or we may not have a massive infection rate. For me, that is unsatisfactory. I will keep up my social distancing and no matter how near and dear my friends are here, they will, for the time being be my far and dear friends!

[BoatRatKat]

Originally Posted by Lynnesail

Are there statistics somewhere that keep track of COVID for just the people in The Villages?

Yes, as of last night there were 47 in the Sumter portion of TV and 7 in Lake. None in the Marion portion.

[BoatRatKat]

Originally Posted by Joanne and Mike

You can see results by county (Sumter 87) and by zip code 32162 34 cases, 32163 11 cases. Results are updated twice a day
Experience

Use that same sight and dig deeper, it takes a little patience but you can find out exactly how many for just The Villages. The info is also broken down by towns.

[Annie66]

Originally Posted by dewilson58

The mitigators are killing the virus and are saving lives of smart & stupid people.


The socializers are feeding the virus and extending the life of the virus.

I couldn't agree with you more.

[mkarba]

There haven’t been enough people tested in The Villages. Hopefully Florida will get enough test kits that we could be heavily tested. Out of everyone I know only one person has been tested. My fear is once April Stay At Home lifted everyone will rush to pools and restaurants and sunset views——this virus wont be gone. Just under better control.
My neighborhood in Summerhill has been unbelievably diligent at social distance I really appreciate them all.

[pkfavreau2]

Originally Posted by Dr Winston O Boogie jr

that the coronavirus hasn't spread more rapidly in The Villages?

I'm not minimizing the threat as I feel that the threat is huge. It's just that I thought that when it got here it would spread like wildfire. I thought the hospitals would be overwhelmed in a matter of days.

Maybe it's because the first cases got here around the same time as the Governor's stay at home order.

I've personally met and chatted with some people here in TV that think the everyone is over reacting and that it's not a big deal. I witnessed myself people in a supermarket standing within inches of one another and talking into each other's face.

I guess (hope) that these cases are few and far between but I really thought that once it got here we were going to see thousands of cases and hundreds of deaths within a matter of weeks.

It appears that we're doing a great job of mitigating. Way to go!!! Keep up the good work.

I think TV closing things down made a difference, starting with the recreation center classes. While some people feel deprived I feel great-full, the number of cases are low, I saw an article that some people feel they should get reimbursed for their amenity fees or have them reduced by the Morris family. We looked outside The Villages at quite a few developments in a few states and here, and all of the amenity fees were almost the same or more, and did not offer anywhere near as much free activities or at a minimal cost. I feel blessed to be here. Stay healthy.

[lclear]

The Villages is about 2 weeks behind reaching the apex, I believe. Don't let your guard down. Be safe.

[Swoop]

The whole idea of social distancing is not to “make the virus go away” it’s simply to slow the spread, flatten the curve. The theory is that if everyone doesn’t get sick at once, healthcare won’t be overrun. Based on this model, people will continue to get the virus, but at a slower rate. What we don’t know yet is how many people have had the virus since 80% of those who get the virus have have little or no symptoms. Once we test a large portion of the population for both the virus and the antibodies, will we truly know the mortality rate. To date, the majority of people tested have had severe symptoms. Even then the mortality hasn’t been as high as originally thought. Especially since anyone who dies who tested positive for the virus is coded as a Coronavirus death. In fact they don’t even have to test positive. If the patient showed signs that are consistent with the Coronavirus, they are coded as virus deaths. It’s good to be safe, wash your hands, but you take the same precautions during flu season. If you are in the “at risk” category take extra precautions. But the idea that if everyone just locked themselves in their homes for two weeks, or if everyone wore masks, the virus will go away, is simply not true.

[SunnyHester]

Originally Posted by Dendrn

Just a reminder the first case detected in US was Jan 20, on Feb 26, President Trump announced 15 cases and no deaths, that would go away magically. THAT WAS 37 DAYS IN THE US. On the other hand the tri county area of Lake/Sumter/Marion had 1st case March 16. Today, ONLY 23 DAYS LATER we have 271 cases with 9 deaths right here in TV and many more in tri county area. WOW, big difference. I would say we are spreading and FAST.

Would you please cite the source of your stats? Thanks.