Is anyone else surprised

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  #76  
Old 04-08-2020, 11:40 AM
OhioBuckeye OhioBuckeye is offline
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Originally Posted by Dr Winston O Boogie jr View Post
that the coronavirus hasn't spread more rapidly in The Villages?

I'm not minimizing the threat as I feel that the threat is huge. It's just that I thought that when it got here it would spread like wildfire. I thought the hospitals would be overwhelmed in a matter of days.

Maybe it's because the first cases got here around the same time as the Governor's stay at home order.

I've personally met and chatted with some people here in TV that think the everyone is over reacting and that it's not a big deal. I witnessed myself people in a supermarket standing within inches of one another and talking into each other's face.

I guess (hope) that these cases are few and far between but I really thought that once it got here we were going to see thousands of cases and hundreds of deaths within a matter of weeks.

It appears that we're doing a great job of mitigating. Way to go!!! Keep up the good work.
Yes, you're right it is spreading pretty fast but if you listen to the news they told you it would & bad spots would move all the time for a couple of weeks or more. I'm surprise nobody has mentioned the stock market. Our stock market has dropped 1,000 points for at least 3 weeks now, some rich person, maybe in another country is buying it at a very low price, you know maybe someone might take over a lot of companies here in the U.S. So yes it doesn't surprise me that TV is in a bad way now but some other states that were having people drop like flies, it's a 100% better. So yes, the govt. told us it's going to get worse before it gets better. Just do what they're telling us to do, then you can say you did everything they told you to do. Maybe it's getting worse in other places because these people are running around like they're calling this virus a buff. Have & good day, & God Bless everyone!
  #77  
Old 04-08-2020, 11:51 AM
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Originally Posted by rockandroller View Post
Folks, use your favorite site to search on

"latest news about covid 19 in sweden"

It's interesting how this democratic government has reacted to COVID-19 and the ensuing results.
I just checked for current deaths in these three Nordic countries and this is how they stack up. I do not know if they have been hit with the virus concurrently or what their populations and policies are.

Sweden 687

Denmark 218

Norway 93
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Old 04-08-2020, 12:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Dr Winston O Boogie jr View Post
The first case here was over two weeks ago. The incubation period could be up to fourteen days. With the testing facility at the polo grounds, I would think that if there were a lot of cases we'd know about it.

According to today's "Happy News" paper the Polo Grounds testing facility will be shut down ON THURSDAY "until they get more testing supplies." So much for test distribution.
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Old 04-08-2020, 12:24 PM
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Originally Posted by manaboutown View Post
Do you mean COVID-19?

As I mentioned many Chinese nationals reside in and visit that area of the state of Washington. I don't know if any had been or were visiting from Wuhan before or during the time she was there. -----<clip>------ So it could have been the Wuhan or Chinese virus, COVID-19.
You just won't let that go will you? Even the big guy in the north has stopped saying that I would think it would have tricked down here by now.
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Old 04-08-2020, 12:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Woolyg View Post
We all hope that we have a low infection rate.. Does anyone think that 1K tests in Sumpter county is enough to make any judgement with the population of Sumpter? The biggest issue is still the availability of tests. The drive through testing is meant to go everyday but it has to shut down every week after 3 or 4 days of testing because they run out of tests. Every time testing is running the slots fill up in 2 hours.. So there are people with symptoms that just don't get tested until they have more tests. So our infection rate is most likely higher than it appears.. As the availability of tests increases the cases will increase also. Tampa drive through testing at Raymond James and also the Orlando drive through testing sites have also been limited in the people they can test.. All due to lack of tests.. There was a report on Orlando Fox station that they are setting up 3 new drive through testing sites (not here) with the hope of some of them doing 1k tests a day. One specifically in Melbourne. They will be using the new test that gives results in 15 min. Once we can test more people we will get a more realistic infection rate. The link below shows Florida cases and more. Just click on the testing tab and then the county and you can see how many were tested and results. This is updates twice daily.

Florida Official Results
Testing is only useful to health care professionals in determining where the virus is. Only the positive results are useful. What we don't know is how many people who have tested negative have picked up the virus since being tested.

I believe that the only way to live now is to assume that everyone that you see has it.
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Old 04-08-2020, 12:31 PM
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That is a despicable comment.
  #82  
Old 04-08-2020, 01:11 PM
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Originally Posted by Dr Winston O Boogie jr View Post
Testing is only useful to health care professionals in determining where the virus is. Only the positive results are useful. What we don't know is how many people who have tested negative have picked up the virus since being tested.

I believe that the only way to live now is to assume that everyone that you see has it.
This seems kinda scary to me, testing positive after one recovers. 51 recovered coronavirus patients test positive again in South Korea

And then this back where it all started. Wuhan lifts coronavirus lockdown, still struggles to recover from pandemic | Fox News
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Last edited by manaboutown; 04-08-2020 at 01:16 PM.
  #83  
Old 04-08-2020, 01:22 PM
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Default coronavirus in The Villages

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr Winston O Boogie jr View Post
that the coronavirus hasn't spread more rapidly in The Villages?

I'm not minimizing the threat as I feel that the threat is huge. It's just that I thought that when it got here it would spread like wildfire. I thought the hospitals would be overwhelmed in a matter of days.

Maybe it's because the first cases got here around the same time as the Governor's stay at home order.

I've personally met and chatted with some people here in TV that think the everyone is over reacting and that it's not a big deal. I witnessed myself people in a supermarket standing within inches of one another and talking into each other's face.

I guess (hope) that these cases are few and far between but I really thought that once it got here we were going to see thousands of cases and hundreds of deaths within a matter of weeks.

It appears that we're doing a great job of mitigating. Way to go!!! Keep up the good work.
According to the Florida Dept. of Health web site there are 45 confirmed KNOWN cases in the two zip codes making up the majority of The Villages (32162 & 32163). That's half of the 90 cases in Sumter County.
  #84  
Old 04-08-2020, 01:57 PM
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Originally Posted by rodhos View Post
According to the Florida Dept. of Health web site there are 45 confirmed KNOWN cases in the two zip codes making up the majority of The Villages (32162 & 32163). That's half of the 90 cases in Sumter County.
and half the population
  #85  
Old 04-08-2020, 02:05 PM
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It'll be interesting to see when they test for antibodies if anyone actually had it before the first reported case in the U.S. on Jan 31. Since they tracked it so well I don't see how anyone had it before then but it's hard to know. I know flu type B was really nasty this year.



Quote:
Originally Posted by manaboutown View Post
The incubation period is quite long and 80% don't get very sick so it may be too early to tell.

I was just speaking with a friend who while visiting her grandchildren in WA over Thanksgiving last year became very ill and even lost her sense of taste and smell. Several of the children got pneumonia. She now believes they had the Wuhan virus. Many Chinese were visiting or living in the area and she believes it got there through some of them.
  #86  
Old 04-08-2020, 02:09 PM
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Originally Posted by rbrooks817 View Post
That is a despicable comment.
Please supply a quote. I don't know which comment you are referring to. Thanks.
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Old 04-08-2020, 02:37 PM
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coved19 is way overblown. Not a big deal at all. Just ask Boris Johnson. I am sure he will tell you as soon as he gets out of intensive care, which he probably will do as he is much younger than you.

If we don't come up with a vaccine soon, about 50% of people will get it sooner or later. If you are one of that 50% , and you are my age, you will have between 15% to 20% chance of dying. Whether or not it is a big deal depends on how lucky you think you are. BTW social distancing and hand washing are will not stop anyone from getting the disease, it will "flatten the curve" or slow the spread in hope that they will find a vaccine before you contact the virus, or that there will be a ventilator for you in the hospital when you get there.
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Old 04-08-2020, 04:56 PM
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Originally Posted by zendog3 View Post
coved19 is way overblown. Not a big deal at all. Just ask Boris Johnson. I am sure he will tell you as soon as he gets out of intensive care, which he probably will do as he is much younger than you.

If we don't come up with a vaccine soon, about 50% of people will get it sooner or later. If you are one of that 50% , and you are my age, you will have between 15% to 20% chance of dying. Whether or not it is a big deal depends on how lucky you think you are. BTW social distancing and hand washing are will not stop anyone from getting the disease, it will "flatten the curve" or slow the spread in hope that they will find a vaccine before you contact the virus, or that there will be a ventilator for you in the hospital when you get there.
a) very optimistic, thank you
b) your numbers are way overblown
c) If those measures didn't stop anyone from getting the virus, they wouldn't flatten the curve at all----think about it
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Old 04-08-2020, 06:21 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zendog3 View Post
BTW social distancing and hand washing are will not stop anyone from getting the disease, it will "flatten the curve" or slow the spread
This is a fundamental misunderstanding of flatten the curve. While the basic model of flattening has as its goal lowering the peak and does not anticipate fewer final cases, models of social distancing accomplish two goals. The goals of social distancing are to both have fewer people ill at the same time AND have fewer people ultimately become infected. The simplest explanation is if you take a single individual. If she never comes into contact with an adequate exposure, she never gets sick. The way to have her not be exposed involves keeping her away from known and unknown spreaders.

Hand washing obviously reduces the total ill people. It is no different for catching Covid from what your hands touched or catching Salmonella from raw chicken. Hand washing results in decreased transfer of germs from hand to nose, eyes, and mouth.
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Old 04-08-2020, 06:44 PM
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We are pretty new here, but, what I see is, that many people take the health of all seriously (while some roll their eyes, at least or a while). I'm proud of these folks that take this seriously, without panic, just doing what they feel will help themselves, and hopefully others, safe. The voice of example can be loud!
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