[sounding]

Why the big season is forecast, and why hurricanes form in the first place, will be reviewed June 3 at 1 PM at the Everglades - for the Science & Technology Club (South). Fortunately, The Villages is one of the safest places to be in Florida.

[golfing eagles]

Originally Posted by sounding

Why the big season is forecast, and why hurricanes form in the first place, will be reviewed June 3 at 1 PM at the Everglades - for the Science & Technology Club (South). Fortunately, The Villages is one of the safest places to be in Florida.

Oh, no. You KNOW what's coming.

[Taltarzac725]

Originally Posted by golfing eagles

Oh, no. You KNOW what's coming.

Bad weather.

[golfing eagles]

Originally Posted by Taltarzac725

Bad weather.

Not exactly. Bad posts by you-know-who.

OOPs, did I state bad. No, delisional.

[billethkid]

One can just see the glee in the meteorologists reporting as June 1st approaches.
While some of what they report is needed and informative.....it is overwhelmed by the ongoing amount of useless information.

[Princeton]

Originally Posted by sounding

Why the big season is forecast, and why hurricanes form in the first place, will be reviewed June 3 at 1 PM at the Everglades - for the Science & Technology Club (South). Fortunately, The Villages is one of the safest places to be in Florida.

I’ve lived in Florida on the coast for a long, long time. I can tell you most of these forecasts are donkey dust. They always predict a huge amount of hurricanes and in the middle of the season or after the first quarter they reduce them. Then at the end of the season they say how accurate they were. It drives me crazy. They should stick with the original prediction and then admit how wrong they were. With that being said I’ve lived through a few hurricanes and when the news tells you to leave, you’ll leave that part they get right.
I also want to say once the hurricanes are here the weather teams are really good with keeping track of it. The above comment was only about the people who predict the hurricanes.

[sounding]

Originally Posted by Princeton

I’ve lived in Florida on the coast for a long, long time. I can tell you most of these forecasts are donkey dust. They always predict a huge amount of hurricanes and in the middle of the season or after the first quarter they reduce them. Then at the end of the season they say how accurate they were. It drives me crazy. They should stick with the original prediction and then admit how wrong they were. With that being said I’ve lived through a few hurricanes and when the news tells you to leave, you’ll leave that part they get right.

CSU (Colorado State University) was and still is the leader in producing hurricane outlooks (which is a talk being given next month), but the actual verification data is never reported by anyone. Guess why. Looking at the just the forecast for "named storms" (which is the most quoted number), from 2000 to 2023, CSU only got it right 3 times. In the past they were off as many as 14 storms in one year. This year, they are forecasting 23 named storms. Bottom line ... it's a guessing game ... much like forecasting the stock market.

[Michael 61]

I remember they said last year was going to be very active too.

[Pondboy]

I don’t know….we’re less than an hour from the gulf coast.


There saying that there’s an 85% chance of a more active season. It won’t kill ya to stock up (now) on some water and canned goods. Just in case.

[Packer Fan]

Originally Posted by sounding

Why the big season is forecast, and why hurricanes form in the first place, will be reviewed June 3 at 1 PM at the Everglades - for the Science & Technology Club (South). Fortunately, The Villages is one of the safest places to be in Florida.

So do they just present this every year? They have been forcasting the same thing as long as anyone can remember and most of the time it is not true.....
Now WHY hurricanes form is interesting for sure. Lucky in TV, we are pretty far from the coast and not much to concern ourselves with.

[Stu from NYC]

Originally Posted by golfing eagles

Not exactly. Bad posts by you-know-who.

OOPs, did I state bad. No, delisional.

Should we take up a collection to buy him an EV?

[sounding]

Originally Posted by Pondboy

I don’t know….we’re less than an hour from the gulf coast.


There saying that there’s an 85% chance of a more active season. It won’t kill ya to stock up (now) on some water and canned goods. Just in case.

Last year was an above average year -- and only one hit Florida -- in a historically high-hit area.

[kkingston57]

Originally Posted by billethkid

One can just see the glee in the meteorologists reporting as June 1st approaches.
While some of what they report is needed and informative.....it is overwhelmed by the ongoing amount of useless information.

More precisely the TV meteorologists,

[kkingston57]

Originally Posted by Michael 61

I remember they said last year was going to be very active too.

It was, but most of the hurricanes veered north, well east of the US.

[sounding]

Originally Posted by kkingston57

It was, but most of the hurricanes veered north, well east of the US.

The long-term trend shows that land-falling hurricanes are slowly decreasing.