Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
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#47
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Russian hacking bots??????
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#48
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I think the vaccine will become the catalyst that will determine what acceptable risk levels could be for for resumption of normal life styles similar to the flu, auto accidents, flying, et al. |
#49
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#50
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#51
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First, the number of confirmed positive tests in Florida is only the tip of the iceberg. There have been 100s of scientific studies by DOCTORS that show that the number of asymptomatic cases that are out there dwarfs the number of confirmed positive tests. CDC Director Redfield recently stated that it is probably 10 times as many asymptomatics as confirmed cases. That means if we currently have 360,000 cases confirmed by testing, there are actually 3,600,000 cases out there if you add untested asymptomatics. Asymptomatics don't die but they can and do spread the virus. Second, new scientific studies by DOCTORS and EPIDEMIOLOGISTS (like the Oxford study I linked) are now proposing that there are huge numbers of people who have T cell immunity from previous exposure to other coronaviruses like the common cold. These people, when exposed to the virus, do not get sick because their T cells fight it off. They also do not show up in antibody tests. Coronavirus: Levels of herd immunity in UK may already be high enough to prevent second wave, study suggests | The Independent I didn't come up with the idea that the herd immunity threshold is 30% or less, a Nobel Prize winner from Stanford named Michael Levitt did. He did this after analyzing data from countries all over the world. The epidemiologists at Oxford in their study I previously linked, confirm this theory. You can see that in reality, places like New York and Sweden have reached the herd immunity threshold already. Even though New York used lockdowns and masks, while Sweden did not, their graphs for daily deaths go up to a peak and then down in a very similar way. Both places now are approaching zero in new deaths and cases with no surge like we have in Florida. Florida has not reached the threshold yet, but will very soon (by end of July) and then new cases will start going down. We will have an uptick in new deaths for a few more weeks (deaths lag)and then those will start going down too. My prediction is based on known number of confirmed positives, and estimated asymptomatics and T cell immunes. When these reach a certain percentage of population, the virus runs out of targets. As always, I advise my fellow elderly and at risk neighbors to stay out of buildings except home and take no risks until new cases start approaching zero. ![]() Last edited by GoodLife; 07-21-2020 at 06:26 AM. |
#52
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It may all get real easy soon.
Business Insider logo Business Insider 5 hrs ago Shares of small UK biotech firm Synairgen spiked as much as 552% higher on Monday after the company revealed its experimental coronavirus drug was mostly successful in preventing the development of serious COVID-19 symptoms. The company's SNG001 drug reduced the odds of a patient needing ventilation or dying by 79% compared to those receiving a placebo, the company said Monday. Patients receiving the drug were also more than twice as likely to recover and experienced a "markedly reduced" level of breathlessness. "This assessment of SNG001 in COVID-19 patients could signal a major breakthrough in the treatment of hospitalized COVID-19 patients," CEO Richard Marsden said in a press release. "Our efforts are now focused on working with the regulators and other key groups to progress this potential COVID-19 treatment as rapidly as possible." Synairgen's trial involved 220 subjects in the UK. Further analysis of the trial's results will take place over the coming weeks. The stock's Monday leap follows similar upswings for biotech stocks racing to introduce the first effective coronavirus treatment. Industry giants including Pfizer, AstraZeneca, and Gilead are among the several firms with drugs undergoing trials. Moderna soared as much as 18% on Thursday after its experimental drug safely produced antibodies in all 45 of its Phase 1 trial participants. Synairgen's stock traded at 232.23 pence ($2.91) per share as of 8:30 ET Monday, up 3,185% year-to-date. |
#53
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#54
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__________________
Roseville, MI, East Lansing, MI, Okemos, MI, Kapalua, HI, Village of Pine Ridge |
#55
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There are Doctors and nurses rushing to Miami. I believe that freezer trucks are ordered. Perhaps THEY forgot to read your pretty graphs? I hope it is not too LATE to call them back. People that downplay, should ask, "What if I am wrong". The wrong answer is DEATH TO FRIENDS. The other answer is only inconvenience. What choice would a good gambler make? And then there is my question about motivation? I KNOW why I am saying my ideas. |
#56
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My bottom line is it looks like Sweden is ahead of us now due to herd immunity.
__________________
Roseville, MI, East Lansing, MI, Okemos, MI, Kapalua, HI, Village of Pine Ridge |
#57
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How will this play out ? Old people will die, as they have since the beginning of time. Regretfully, many will die at home, alone and depressed, scared by mass media that all of a sudden every person that looks twice at them is contagious and will make them die .. earlier than they would have.. In a few short months the entire country has become a leper colony, except that no one can see the sores, so the assumption is that everyone is a carrier. And now many of these people are trying to condemn children to the same fear that has overtaken them, depriving young energetic children of their right to learn and grow . The virus, of course has turned political, and the fear mongerers want to impose interminable isolation onto the entire nation, saying that the entire country needs to be shut down until a cure or vaccine is found, even though a small portion of them will consider immediately taking one.. So many of all age groups will either die of atrophy or violence as the law of unintended consequences eliminate years of progress and accomplishments. The country has never been more vulnerable to an enemy attack.. let's pray that the country gets back to work and school quickly.. and that we shore up our defenses .. via medicine, self sufficiency, and pure American strength and ingenuity. Fear and isolation is not a strategy or formula for a long, enjoyable, prosperous life.
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#58
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Yes there are many countries that currently have no surge. These are most likely due to a low herd immunity threshold as I have explained. Florida should get there very soon at the rate we are going. |
#59
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Everything in my post is factual. There are tons of asymptomatics out there, and T cells can and do defeat the coronavirus. Many countries and US states appear to have reached herd immunity. This virus does not spread exponentially as once was feared. If it did, all of Sweden would be infected and their death toll would be much higher. The deaths and cases rose to a peak and then fell, now approaching zero. There is no other explanation for this other than herd immunity. I won't be to blame if any more Villagers die from covid 19. Read this last sentence again very carefully. As always, I advise my fellow elderly and at risk neighbors to stay out of buildings except home and take no risks until new cases start approaching zero. The reason I say stay out of all buildings except home is simple. Asymptomatics do not spread the virus thru larger droplets from sneezes and coughs. They are ASYMPTOMATIC. They spread the virus just by breathing and talking, very small particles which will not be stopped by a cloth mask and can hang in the air in enclosed spaces for quite some time. Last edited by GoodLife; 07-20-2020 at 05:51 PM. |
#60
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__________________
All the war-propaganda, all the screaming and lies and hatred, comes invariably from people who are not fighting. --George Orwell |
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